The dry-erase marker has a specific, chemical scent that somehow smells like false confidence. I’m sitting in the back of a conference room in Oberkassel, watching a consultant trace a series of upward-curving arrows that represent the next 53 months of a company’s life. My fingers are still slightly tacky because I spent the last 23 minutes using a toothpick and a damp cloth to rescue my keyboard. I’d spilled a full cup of espresso into the chassis this morning, and the process of digging out individual, sodden coffee grounds from beneath the ‘S’ and ‘D’ keys felt more productive than anything happening on that whiteboard. There is a gritty reality to a broken keyboard that a 333-page strategic plan simply cannot touch. We are obsessed with the architecture of the future, yet we can’t even predict the trajectory of a falling coffee mug.
“There is a gritty reality to a broken keyboard that a 333-page strategic plan simply cannot touch.”
– The immediate, unplannable moment.
In this room, the air is thick with the belief that if we name a goal, we own it. The C-suite is addicted to this. It’s a ritualistic comfort, a secular prayer to the gods of Predictability. We sit in these Q4 planning meetings and meticulously plot out initiatives for next October, as if we have any inkling of what the world will look like 13 months from now. We talk about ‘synergy’ and ‘market penetration’ while ignoring the fact that a single tweet, a sudden regulatory shift, or a global supply chain hiccup could render every slide in this deck obsolete by February. It isn’t strategy; it’s a defense mechanism against the terrifying realization that we are mostly just reacting to a world that doesn’t care about our spreadsheets.
The Beetle vs. The Boardroom
I’ve seen this paralysis-by-planning play out in the most unexpected places. Take Aisha T.-M., a museum education coordinator I worked with last year. Aisha is the kind of person who carries 13 different colored pens and has a backup for her backup. She was tasked with designing a 3-year curriculum for the museum’s outreach program. The board wanted a rigid, step-by-step roadmap that accounted for every possible visitor interaction. She spent 113 days drafting it. She accounted for 43 different demographics. It was a masterpiece of organizational theory.
But then the doors opened. On the very first day, a group of 33 rowdy second-graders ignored the carefully curated ‘Path of Enlightenment’ and spent 43 minutes huddled in a corner of the gallery because they discovered a beetle that had crawled in through the loading dock. The ‘Plan’ said they should be discussing Renaissance lighting. Reality said they were obsessed with a hexapod. Aisha, to her credit, didn’t fight the beetle. She threw out the script and spent the afternoon talking about the biology of insects in 16th-century art. The board was horrified. They saw it as a deviation, a failure of the roadmap. But Aisha knew that the plan was just a comfort blanket for people who were afraid of children and beetles.
“The plan was just a comfort blanket for people who were afraid of children and beetles.
We punish deviation because we mistake the plan for the objective. In most corporate structures, if you follow the plan and fail, you’re safe-you followed the process. But if you deviate from the plan and succeed, you’re a liability, a wild card. This creates an environment where people would rather be precisely wrong than vaguely right. We spend $503,000 on consultants to tell us what will happen in five years, yet we won’t spend 13 minutes talking about how to handle the chaos of tomorrow morning. It’s a collective hallucination. We want to believe in the five-year plan because it suggests that someone is in control. It suggests that if we just work hard enough at the logistics, we can outmaneuver the inherent volatility of existence.
Fragility vs. Flow
I think about this every time I see a leader double down on a failing initiative simply because ‘it’s on the roadmap.’ There’s a certain kind of ego that views adaptation as a sign of weakness. They see the pivot as an admission of a mistake, rather than a realization of new data. If the plan says we launch in October, we launch in October, even if the building is on fire and the customers have all moved to a different planet. We’ve become a culture of auditors instead of explorers. We’re so busy checking off boxes that we’ve forgotten to look out the window to see if the road we’re on still exists.
This rigidity makes organizations fragile. Like a ceramic vase, a rigid plan is strong until it’s hit from an unexpected angle, at which point it shatters into 1,003 useless pieces. An agile approach, on the other hand, is more like a fluid. It takes the shape of the container it’s in. It flows around obstacles. It doesn’t pretend the obstacles aren’t there.
Shatters at 1 impact
Takes the container’s shape
Choosing a more dynamic way to move, like the experiences at segwayevents-duesseldorf, serves as a physical reminder that true navigation isn’t about the pre-drawn line; it’s about the real-time interaction with the path.
The Power of Noticing
I’m still finding tiny fragments of coffee grounds in the crevices of my desk. It’s annoying, but it’s a reminder of the ‘mess.’ The mess is where the actual work happens. The mess is where Aisha T.-M. found the beetle. The mess is where the market actually lives. When we try to sanitize our business models with these sterile, long-term plans, we strip away the very thing that makes us competitive: our ability to notice. We stop noticing because the plan tells us what we should see. We become blind to the 73% of opportunities that don’t fit into our pre-approved categories.
Noticing Gap (Opportunities Missed)
73%
There is a deep-seated fear in the C-suite that without a five-year plan, there will be anarchy. They think that if they don’t provide a rigid structure, everyone will just wander around aimlessly. But that’s a failure of leadership, not a failure of planning. Real leadership isn’t about providing a map; it’s about providing a compass. It’s about defining the ‘Why’ so clearly that the ‘How’ can change 13 times a day without losing sight of the destination. If the team understands the mission, they don’t need a roadmap to tell them how to avoid a puddle. They’ll just step around it.
The Compass Strategy
Stop focusing on the pre-drawn line (‘How’) and amplify the core purpose (‘Why’).
Embracing Structured Chaos
We need to start valuing the ‘pivot’ as a core competency. We need to stop asking ‘Why didn’t you follow the plan?’ and start asking ‘What did you learn that made the plan irrelevant?’ Imagine a boardroom where the most celebrated slide wasn’t the projected revenue for 2033, but the list of 13 things we stopped doing because we realized they no longer made sense. That would be a sign of a healthy, resilient organization. Instead, we carry our dead plans around like talismans, hoping they’ll protect us from the inevitable.
Aisha eventually quit that museum. She told me she couldn’t spend another 3 years pretending that the future was a series of checkboxes. She’s now working as a freelance consultant, helping organizations embrace what she calls ‘Structured Chaos.’ She helps them build ‘living strategies’-documents that are designed to be edited, scratched out, and spilled upon. She tells her clients that if their strategic plan doesn’t have coffee stains on it by the end of the first month, they aren’t actually using it.
Living Strategy Adaptation Rate
High Velocity
[The most dangerous thing in the world is a person with a plan and no eyes.]
Ignoring the Micro-Rot
I finished cleaning my keyboard. It works now, though the ‘Enter’ key feels a little different than it did before. The coffee has changed the mechanism, just a tiny bit. It’s a reminder that change is often permanent and usually uninvited. As I sit back and look at the whiteboard in front of me, I see that the consultant has moved on to a slide about ‘Risk Mitigation.’ He has a list of 23 potential risks, and he’s explaining how the five-year plan accounts for each of them. He doesn’t mention beetles. He doesn’t mention spilled coffee. He doesn’t mention the fact that the person sitting next to me is currently looking at a job posting on their phone.
We are so obsessed with the macro that we ignore the micro-rot. We plan for the 3-year market cycle but ignore the fact that the team is burnt out today. We project 13% growth but ignore the 43% turnover rate in the engineering department. The plan is a distraction. It’s a way to avoid looking at the gritty, uncomfortable present. We would rather talk about where we’ll be in 2033 than deal with the fact that our current strategy is boring our customers to tears.
What if we just… stopped? What if the next time someone asked for a five-year roadmap, we handed them a blank notebook and a compass? What if we admitted that we don’t know? There is a tremendous power in saying, ‘We don’t know what will happen, but we know who we are and we know how to respond.’ That is a strategy. Everything else is just a fairy tale told in Helvetica.
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The arrows on the whiteboard are still pointing up.
The meeting is scheduled to last another 133 minutes. I look at my clean keyboard, then back at the board, and I wonder how many of us in this room are actually present, and how many are already living in that imaginary Q4 that will never arrive. The future isn’t a destination we reach by following a map; it’s a series of moments we navigate by staying awake. And if we’re too busy staring at the roadmap, we’re going to miss the turn.