Staring at the cursor as it blinks on the 13th line of a draft email is a special kind of hell. My neck is still screaming from where I cracked it too hard about 3 minutes ago-a sharp, sickening pop that felt like a tectonic shift in my C-spine-and now the physical pain is perfectly in sync with the psychological agony of this closing. The deal is flatlining. You can feel it in the air, a certain coldness that has nothing to do with the HVAC settings and everything to do with the 43 unread messages sitting in the buyer’s ‘urgent’ folder. We are deep in the ‘thousand tiny cuts’ phase, where no one is shouting yet, but everyone has stopped talking about the future.
I’ve watched this happen 13 times in the last decade, and it’s never a single explosion that does it. It’s never some $503,003 discrepancy discovered in the final audit. It’s the slow, agonizing erosion of trust. It starts with a delay on a single data request-maybe something trivial like a 3-year-old equipment lease-and it ends with two grown men communicating exclusively through their attorneys, who are currently billing at $483 an hour to debate the phrasing of a ‘force majeure’ clause that will likely never be triggered. It’s a lesson in entropy. Without constant, active management, complex human systems naturally degrade into misunderstanding and failure. We assume that because two people want to buy and sell a company, the momentum will carry itself. It won’t. Momentum is a fragile, non-renewable resource in a negotiation. Once it hits zero, restarting it requires ten times the energy it took to keep it moving in the first place.
The Entropy Principle
Natural Decay
Zero management returns system to chaos.
Active Input
Restarting requires 10x the initial energy.
[A deal is a living thing that forgets how to breathe the moment you look away.]
Pre-conditions of Failure
I think about Jamie C.-P., an industrial hygienist I worked with on a transaction involving a mid-sized chemical distribution firm. Jamie is the kind of person who sees the world through the lens of invisible hazards-particulates, spores, vapors. They have this 3-step process for evaluating a site that I’ve started applying to deal-making. Jamie doesn’t just look for the obvious leaks; they look for the ‘pre-conditions of failure.’ In an old warehouse, that might be a slightly damp corner that suggests a roof issue 23 feet away. In a business sale, it’s the way a seller sighs when asked about their inventory management system. It’s a ‘toxic’ buildup of resentment.
Jamie once told me about a 43-page report they had to file regarding a building that looked pristine but was technically uninhabitable because the air exchange rate had dropped by just 3 percent over a decade. The inhabitants didn’t notice the change until they all started getting headaches at 3:33 PM every Tuesday. Deals are the same. You don’t notice the air going sour until the buyer starts questioning the character of the founder over a $33 expense report error.
The Blind Spot of Logic
I’ve made the mistake of thinking logic would save a deal. I remember a specific transaction where I was convinced that because the EBITDA was strong and the multiple was fair-around 4.3x-that the personalities involved didn’t matter. I was wrong. I was so incredibly wrong that it still makes my jaw tighten. I allowed the buyer and seller to get into a 13-day stalemate over who would pay for the remaining $933 of office supplies in the supply closet.
By the time I stepped in to suggest we just split the difference, the seller had decided the buyer was ‘nickel-and-diming’ him, and the buyer had decided the seller was ‘hiding a lack of discipline.’ The deal died 3 days later. Not because of the money, but because the silence had become too heavy to lift. If the clock stops, the heart stops. Stagnation is a graveyard for equity. I should have seen the mold growing in the corners of that conversation, but I was too busy looking at the spreadsheets.
Fighting Gravity: Speed vs. Doubt
Speed is the only defense against doubt. Every day a deal sits idle, the buyer finds a new reason to be afraid. They Google ‘recession 2024’ or they talk to their brother-in-law who once lost 33 thousand dollars in a real estate flip, and suddenly your solid deal is looking like a liability. The seller, meanwhile, is looking at their staff and feeling like a traitor. They start to think, ‘Maybe I should just stay for another 3 years.’
This is the entropy I’m talking about. The natural state of a deal is to fall apart. You are fighting gravity. Every single document signed, every wire transfer confirmed, is a victory over the universe’s desire to return everything to a state of disconnected chaos.
This momentum is what firms like kmf business advisors usually earn their keep by acting as the dampers on the oscillation of human ego. You need someone who can sense the ‘atmospheric toxins’ before they become lethal. If you’re trying to navigate this alone, you’re basically an industrial hygienist working without a respirator in a room full of asbestos.
The Cost of Disconnected Language
Lawyers
75%
Accountants
55%
PE/Founder
90%
Translator Needed
20%
I’ve seen a 63-year-old founder almost come to blows with a private equity associate because the associate kept calling the founder’s ‘legacy’ an ‘asset class.’ It’s the language of disconnection. If you don’t have someone translating ‘Human’ into ‘Corporate’ and back again, you’re going to end up with a dead deal and a lot of expensive invoices.
The Final Marathon
[Stagnation is a graveyard for equity.]
There’s this weird phenomenon where, near the end of a transaction, everyone starts to hate each other. It’s like the last 3 miles of a marathon. You’re exhausted, your feet hurt, and you’re pretty sure the person running next to you is breathing too loudly on purpose. This is the danger zone. This is when the ‘tiny cuts’ become infections. I’ve seen deals survive a 13% drop in revenue during due diligence but die because the seller didn’t like the font the buyer used in the new employment contracts.
Deal Completion Momentum
88%
It sounds ridiculous when you say it out loud, but when you’ve been in a room for 43 hours over the course of a month, the font becomes a metaphor for your entire future under new management. You have to keep the eyes on the horizon. Why are we doing this? Is it for the $1,200,003 payout? Is it for the freedom to retire to that house in the mountains? Is it to see the company reach its next level? If you lose the ‘why,’ the ‘how’ will kill you every single time.
The Weight of Expectation
My neck finally stopped throbbing, or maybe I’ve just become accustomed to the dull ache. It’s a reminder that tension is a physical reality. When you feel that tightness in your shoulders or that twitch in your eye, that’s not just caffeine. That’s the deal. That’s the weight of 13 different people’s expectations pressing down on a single point of failure. The irony is that the more important the deal, the more likely people are to behave like children.
Staff Security
Founder Payout
Next Chapter
We like to think we are rational actors. We aren’t. We are collections of 23-year-old traumas dressed up in expensive suits, trying to trade pieces of our lives for security. So, if your sale is falling apart, don’t look for the ‘big blow.’ Look for the tiny cuts. Look for the unanswered email from 3 days ago. Look for the slight edge in the buyer’s voice when they talk about the lease. Address the entropy. Clear the air. Call in someone who knows how to find the mold before the whole structure is condemned.
Because once the heart of the deal stops beating, no amount of legal CPR is going to bring it back to life. You have to keep it breathing, one 3-minute conversation at a time.